In 1984, Indian Air Force could have ‘inflicted major damage’ on Pakistan’s nuclear facilities, CIA believed
The secret “intelligence assessment”, made soon after then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi’s assassination also said that an attack by the IAF could “destroy or sufficiently damage the facilities to prevent Islamabad from producing nuclear weapons for several years.”
Surprisingly, the CIA document also says that MIG 29s – which India at the time was awaiting delivery of – had “medium-range capability superior to” that of the F-16s, which were and still are made by the US. Notably, Pakistan possessed F-16s.
Because of “poor command, control, and communications, we judge that Islamabad could not blunt a massed Indian airstrike”, the document says. It adds, though, that “surprise and speed” by the IAF were critical for a successful strike on Pakistan’s ‘most critical’ nuclear facilities. According to the CIA, those facilities were the Kahuta Enrichment Plant and PINSTECH-New Laboratories facility, both of which were just 30 minutes away by plane from India.
India’s air force was “larger and better” than Pakistan’s, the 1984 CIA document says.
“We believe that the Pakistanis can neither provide effective air defense for their military and industrial targets against a concerted Indian air attack nor seriously threaten most strategic targets in India,” it adds.
In the event of an IAF strike on Pakistan, the IAF would have most likely used its MIg-23s and its Jaguar aircraft, the CIA believed at the time.
“The best window for a preemptive strike, in our opinion, would be during November through February. Low precipitation and lack of clods make visual target identification the easiest in this period,” the CIA document explains.
The US intelligence agency document detailing this scenario is one of thousands of recently declassified CIA documents.
Source:- TNN
The post In 1984, Indian Air Force could have ‘inflicted major damage’ on Pakistan’s nuclear facilities, CIA believed appeared first on Defence Update.
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